Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.037886 0.040900 0.044064 0.047637 0.051565 0.055759 0.060584
2025-04-27 0.033432 0.037751 0.042535 0.048250 0.054918 0.062485 0.071769
2025-05-04 0.029980 0.034993 0.040775 0.047981 0.056782 0.067258 0.080791
2025-05-11 0.027468 0.032921 0.039417 0.047800 0.058432 0.071606 0.089385
2025-05-18 0.025428 0.031159 0.038176 0.047500 0.059716 0.075393 0.097384
2025-05-25 0.023827 0.029769 0.037221 0.047386 0.061098 0.079260 0.105662
2025-06-01 0.022226 0.028237 0.035933 0.046674 0.061541 0.081796 0.112198
2025-06-08 0.020751 0.026757 0.034590 0.045748 0.061553 0.083646 0.117798
2025-06-15 0.019619 0.025651 0.033657 0.045285 0.062124 0.086253 0.124636
2025-06-22 0.018623 0.024664 0.032812 0.044862 0.062681 0.088818 0.131551
2025-06-29 0.017579 0.023549 0.031717 0.043994 0.062493 0.090209 0.136675
2025-07-06 0.017062 0.023138 0.031581 0.044495 0.064355 0.094814 0.147314
2025-07-13 0.016413 0.022511 0.031108 0.044476 0.065434 0.098294 0.156458
2025-07-20 0.015976 0.022168 0.031025 0.045031 0.067430 0.103369 0.168784
2025-07-27 0.015351 0.021516 0.030447 0.044781 0.068109 0.106308 0.177596
2025-08-03 0.014795 0.020938 0.029947 0.044614 0.068894 0.109456 0.187042
2025-08-10 0.014251 0.020351 0.029402 0.044337 0.069465 0.112252 0.196063
2025-08-17 0.013786 0.019863 0.028982 0.044233 0.070305 0.115557 0.206342
2025-08-24 0.013222 0.019197 0.028254 0.043578 0.070150 0.117053 0.213179
2025-08-31 0.012647 0.018492 0.027434 0.042725 0.069588 0.117754 0.218454
2025-09-07 0.012202 0.017973 0.026885 0.042298 0.069750 0.119792 0.226659
2025-09-14 0.011791 0.017491 0.026375 0.041909 0.069948 0.121900 0.235192
2025-09-21 0.011316 0.016892 0.025650 0.041109 0.069344 0.122410 0.240301